Rally splutters as Europe ploughs on with rate hikes

By Marc Jones, Reuters | Thu, 23 Mar 2023 10:26:55 UTC

img for article
A man watches stock quotations on an electronic board outside a brokerage, in Tokyo

LONDON, March 23 (Reuters) - Europe's post-Credit Suisse rebound spluttered to a halt on Thursday as Switzerland and Norway, and most probably the Bank of England later, showed the year-long cycle of sharp interest rate rises was by no means over.

Stock markets had been relieved when the Federal Reserve hinted at a pause after its latest quarter-point rise on Wednesday, so the sight of Switzerland's SNB jacking its rates up again despite its torrid week was a reminder not to get too carried away.

Advertisement · Scroll to continue

Report an ad

The European-wide STOXX 600-share index (.STOXX) fell 0.75% with banks and insurers the main culprits again, suffering 1.6%-2% drops. Norway had also hiked, although MSCI's main world share index (.MIWD00000PUS) was still in positive territory after overnight gains in Asia.

"The measures announced at the weekend ... have put a halt to the crisis," the SNB had said, referring to Credit Suisse's shotgun marriage with UBS, a view also voiced by Germany's powerful Bundesbank chief overnight.

Focus now shifts to the Bank of England, with investors expecting a quarter-percentage-point increase in its main rate after a surprise jump in inflation squashed hopes of it pausing its tightening campaign.

The pound added to its near 5% rally over the last fortnight with a 0.3% rise to $1.2315 while UK government bond yields, which reflect borrowing costs, were outliers globally as they moved fractionally higher too.

The dollar index , which measures the greenback against the world's other six top currencies, was licking its wounds having hit a 7-week low after the Fed. Both the euro and yen were up on the day, as was the Swiss franc after the SNB's half-point hike. /FRX

Elsewhere in the bond markets, although UK yields were up those on German Bunds were down at 2.281%, happy to match the falls seen on 10-year U.S. Treasuries yields that had taken them to 3.440%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell had said on Wednesday that stresses in the banking sector could dent lending and have a significant impact on the U.S. economy, reducing the need for the central bank to raise rates to tame inflation.

Germany's European Central Bank rate setter Joachim Nagel had even said he now thought the ECB was "approaching restrictive territory" with its rates, referring to a level that curtails growth.

"I do not know when we will more or less be there...but what I know is that when we are there we have to stay there and not come down too early."

Among commodities, U.S. crude fell 1% to $70.19 per barrel and Brent was at $76.04, down 0.85%.

Wall Street futures were up though, having ended sharply lower overnight after the Fed relief was offset by U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen telling lawmakers that she had not considered or discussed creating "blanket insurance" for U.S. banking deposits without approval by Congress.

Markets are now pricing in an approximately 65% chance of the Fed pausing at its next meeting, in May, and a 35% chance of a 25-bps-rise then, the CME FedWatch tool showed.

Share

Guest Articles

img for post

Rally splutters as Europe ploughs on with rate hikes

LONDON, March 23 (Reuters) - Europe's post-Credit Suisse rebound spluttered to a halt on Thursday as Switzerland and Norway, and most probably the Bank of England later, showed the year-long cycle of sharp interest rate rises was by no means over.

By Marc Jones, Reuters | Thu, 23 Mar 2023 10:26:55 UTC

> >
img for post

What does disinflation really mean for markets?

Corporate Reporting Season The Fed raises but when will it hold? Europe on a knife-edge Britain’s downward spiral? Are investors risk-on with crypto? Key events in February

By Exante | Thu, 02 Feb 2023 16:03:43 UTC

> >
img for post

Cardano and Solana decoupled from crypto in explosive price rallies, which altcoin is next?

Cardano and Solana decoupled from Bitcoin, Ethereum and crypto ecosystem, yielding double-digit gains overnight on January 8. On-chain indicators like social dominance and daily active addresses signaled a bullish trend reversal for both. Litecoin’s correlation with Bitcoin and Ethereum is declining, the altcoin may be preparing for an explosive price rally.

By Ekta Mourya, FXStreet | Mon, 09 Jan 2023 11:28:29 UTC

> >
img for post

Crude Oil Price Hammered by Growth Concern but Steadies Today. Where to for WTI?

Crude oil prices found some support today after a two-day tanking An IMF alarm bell and China’s economic woes are weighing on WTI Fed minutes reveal their resolve to slow the economy. Will WTI make a new low?

By Daniel McCarthy, DailyFX | Thu, 05 Jan 2023 10:05:01 UTC

> >

Partners News

Domestic Material Consumption extracted from the environment grew 1.7%

Domestic Material Consumption increased by 1.7% in 2023, in an economic context marked by real GDP growth of 2.5%. In the last decade, as a result of a 2.5% increase in Domestic Material Consumption and a 20.4% growth in GDP in volume, productivity in the use of materials increased by 16.8%,...

By TradeRadius | 4 Minutes Ago

> >

Bank appraisals on housing increased 19 euros to 1,740 Euros per square meter

The median value of bank appraisals on housing reached €1,740 per square meter in November 2024, €19 more than in the previous month (an increase of 1.1%). On a year-on-year basis, the rate of change stood at 13.7% (12.0% in October). It should be noted that the number of bank appraisals inc...

By TradeRadius | 4 Minutes Ago

> >

Christmas getaway: Tips to avoid disruption

Nearly 14 million drivers are expected to hit the road during the last weekend before Christmas, marking a new record, according to the RAC motoring group. Disruption to some rail services is also expected due to engineering works, adding to congestion on the roads, while windy weather has led...

By TradeRadius | 25 Minutes Ago

> >

Sweden criticises China for refusing full access to vessel suspected of Baltic Sea cable sabotage

Swedish public prosecutor denied permission to board Yi Peng 3 despite open investigation

By TradeRadius | 47 Minutes Ago

> >

WTI Crude Oil Weekly Forecast: Range Steady as Holiday Season Trading Begins - 22 December 2024

By Robert Petrucci Created on December 22, 2024 WTI Crude Oil went into the weekend near the 69.500 USD mark, this as a two week stretch of holiday trading is looking speculators in the eyes as they decide if they want to participate.

By TradeRadius | 1 Hours Ago

> >

10 Bold Predictions That Could Define Financial Markets in 2025

Below are the top 10 events and surprises that could impact financial markets and the global economy in the New Year. These are not forecasts, but potential macro-economic, geopolitical or market events that are not anticipated by the financial markets. We also try to assess the probability of...

By TradeRadius | 2 Hours Ago

> >

Investing in mutual funds and ETFs? Know 5 differences between NAV and iNAV

Dec 22, 2024 When investing in mutual funds, investors often come across two key terms: NAV (Net Asset Value) and iNAV (Indicative Net Asset Value). Understanding these metrics enables investors to make informed decisions, align their investments with market trends, and optimize returns.

By TradeRadius | 5 Hours Ago

> >

One ELSS mutual fund will open for subscription this week

Dec 22, 2024, 10:30:24 AM IST 1/6 Bajaj Finserv Mutual Fund will launch Bajaj Finserv ELSS Tax Saver Fund, an open ended equity linked saving scheme with a statutory lock in of 3 years and tax benefit.

By TradeRadius | 6 Hours Ago

> >

Equity mutual funds lost up to 6% last week. Here’s the breakup

Dec 22, 2024, 10:22:48 AM IST 1/9 Equity mutual funds have offered negative returns in the last week upto 6%. Sectoral and thematic funds dominated the list of negative performers. Here are 10 worst performers. (Source: ACE MF)

By TradeRadius | 6 Hours Ago

> >

Trump’s transition team seeks to pull US out of WHO ‘on day one’

Swift exit would remove global health body’s main source of funds and damage its ability to tackle emergencies

By TradeRadius | 6 Hours Ago

> >