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live commentary Post
Back to Live CommentaryAustralian Dollar extends downward correction after weaker Retail Sales
By TradeRadius | Tue, 30 Apr 2024 08:26:42 UTC
The Australian Dollar (AUD) depreciates following Tuesday's release of lower than expected domestic Retail Sales data. Retail Sales are a key leading indicator directly correlated with inflation and growth prospects, potentially influencing the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) hawkish stance on interest rate trajectory.
The Australian Dollar could potentially regain its footing, buoyed by higher-than-expected domestic inflation data released last week, which has raised expectations that the RBA may delay interest rate cuts. Furthermore, Commonwealth Bank, Australia's largest mortgage lender, has revised its forecast for the timing of the first interest rate cut by the RBA, now projecting only one cut in November, as reported by the Financial Review.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, has rebounded following hawkish remarks from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, indicating no immediate need for rate cuts.
Traders are anticipated to await Wednesday's release of the ADP Employment Change and ISM Manufacturing PMI from the United States (US), alongside the Fed Interest Rate Decision. These events are likely to influence market sentiment and USD movement.
Daily Digest Market Movers: Australian Dollar depreciates after lower Retail Sales
Technical Analysis: Australian Dollar moves below 0.6550
The Australian Dollar trades around 0.6530 on Tuesday. The pair remains within the symmetrical triangle, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) positioned above the 50-level, affirming a bullish recovery stance.
In terms of potential upward targets, the AUD/USD pair may test the triangle’s upper boundary around the level of 0.6585, followed by the psychological barrier at 0.6600, and subsequently aim for March’s high of 0.6667.
On the downside, the AUD/USD pair could test the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle, aligned with the major support of 0.6500. A break below the major support of 0.6480 could lead the pair to reach April’s low of 0.6362.
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